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Democrats with proven track records of winning tough districts aren’t running for re-election. Republicans are enjoying early fundraising windfalls. And, as Donald Trump and Barack Obama both learned the hard way, midterm elections almost always break against the president’s party.

The early indicators that showed Democrats poised to make big gains in Congress four years ago now point the other direction, suggesting that the narrow 220-212 Democratic House majority is in serious danger.

‘Based on all factors, you’d have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022,’ Read more…