Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, faces a challenging scenario in the Nevada primary, with new polling indicating a potential loss to the “none of these candidates” option. The survey conducted by Providence, a collaboration between Revere Solutions and DecipherAi, reveals 59.2% of Nevada Republican primary voters favoring “none of these candidates” over Haley’s 40.8%. This outcome could significantly impact Haley’s aspirations to challenge former President Donald Trump, especially after his substantial victories in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary.
The uniqueness of Nevada’s electoral process, featuring both a primary and caucuses, adds complexity. Trump, the only major candidate participating in the caucuses on Feb. 8, is expected to secure a win and the state’s 26 delegates. Haley, opting for the Feb. 6 primary, foregoes the caucus ballot, potentially limiting her appeal to voters. The poll results suggest that Haley’s struggle against the “none of these candidates” option raises questions about her viability against Trump and even Democratic contender Joe Biden.
Revere Solutions CEO Woodrow Johnston emphasizes the narrative surrounding Haley as the best candidate against Biden is jeopardized if she can’t overcome an essentially empty field. Republican strategists like Ford O’Connell express skepticism about Haley’s chances, suggesting a loss in South Carolina could end her political career for this cycle. O’Connell draws parallels to the challenges faced by Biden allies in New Hampshire, highlighting the potential embarrassment for Haley if she loses to “none of these candidates.”
Haley’s campaign, focused on South Carolina, where she trails Trump in polls, faces critical moments ahead. The FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading Haley 63.8% to 31.9% in the Palmetto State. Johnston suggests that losses in Nevada and South Carolina could spell the end for Haley’s campaign, emphasizing the need for strategic decisions and potential consequences.
The Haley campaign has not yet responded to requests for comment, and the poll conducted by Providence has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points at a 95% confidence level, with a sample size of 476 voters.