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Recent polling data for the 2024 presidential election has revealed a significant shift in voter sentiments compared to the 2020 election cycle. Surprisingly, a higher percentage of respondents indicated they would never vote for President Joe Biden, standing at 52%, while 46% expressed the same sentiment towards former President Donald Trump. This reversal of attitudes signifies a notable advantage for Trump as the election approaches, contrasting with the dynamics observed in the previous election.

Since November, three out of four polls consistently show a larger number of “Never Biden” voters compared to “Never Trump” voters. This trend reflects a growing favorability towards Trump’s presidency following Biden’s inauguration, indicating a potential advantage for Trump in the upcoming election based on public sentiment.

The genesis of the “Never Trump” movement traces back to 2015 during Trump’s rise to secure the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. Many conservatives within the party staunchly opposed Trump’s candidacy, leading to the formation of the “Never Trump” movement characterized by a pledge to never support him. However, the landscape has shifted, with the emergence of a significant “Never Biden” sentiment among voters.

A notable development is the unity among Republicans who identify as “Never Trumpers” rallying behind former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley for the 2024 presidential race. Despite Trump securing the Republican nomination, Haley continues to garner substantial support in primary elections, with recent data from Maryland’s primary indicating a significant 21.3% of votes diverted from Trump to Haley.

In head-to-head matchups, Trump maintains a five-point lead over Biden, which extends to three points when third-party candidates are factored in, as revealed by a recent poll conducted by Echelon Insights. Both candidates have scheduled debates, including a June 27 CNN debate and a Sept. 10 ABC debate, with additional debates anticipated in the lead-up to the election, highlighting the intensity and significance of the upcoming electoral contest.